Warner Music Group Stock Performance

WMG Stock  USD 29.90  0.00  0.00%   
Warner Music has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.59, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Warner Music's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Warner Music is expected to be smaller as well. Warner Music Group right now maintains a risk of 1.77%. Please check out Warner Music Group downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Warner Music Group will be following its historical returns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Warner Music Group are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly conflicting primary indicators, Warner Music may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.33
Five Day Return
1.22
Year To Date Return
(1.81)
Ten Year Return
(0.76)
All Time Return
(0.76)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0254
Payout Ratio
0.57
Forward Dividend Rate
0.76
Dividend Date
2026-03-03
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-18
 
Warner Music dividend paid on 2nd of December 2025
12/02/2025
1
Acquisition by Guy Moot of 112144 shares of Warner Music subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
2
Acquisition by Dubuc Nancy of 5289 shares of Warner Music subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
3
3 Film Television Production Stocks to Watch Amid Dull Industry Trends
01/22/2026
4
Why this visionary record exec still believes in the major label
01/30/2026
5
Warner Music declares 0.19 dividend
02/06/2026
6
Mulga Tank Drilling Push Sharpens Western Mines Exploration Focus
02/09/2026
7
Media Stocks Q4 Teardown Disney Vs The Rest
02/11/2026
8
Warner Music Group Is Up 5.6 percent After AI Licensing Push And Dividend Update Has The Bull Case Changed
02/12/2026
9
Four Days Left Until Warner Music Group Corp. Trades Ex-Dividend
02/13/2026
10
Music Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist February 17th
02/17/2026
11
Disposition of 71981 shares by Benet Lincoln E of Warner Music at 36.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/18/2026
12
Former Sony CEO at the heart of the devastating cyberhack explains what happened behind the scenes
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow694 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-340 M

Warner Music Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,817  in Warner Music Group on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  172.50  from holding Warner Music Group or generate 6.12% return on investment over 90 days. Warner Music Group is generating 0.113% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7735% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Warner, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Warner Music is expected to generate 2.44 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Warner Music Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Warner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.90 90 days 29.90 
about 28.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warner Music to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.2 (This Warner Music Group probability density function shows the probability of Warner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Warner Music has a beta of 0.59. This entails as returns on the market go up, Warner Music average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Warner Music Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Warner Music Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Warner Music Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Warner Music

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warner Music Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0029.7931.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9133.5335.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.6630.4532.24
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.0737.4441.56
Details

Warner Music Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warner Music is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warner Music's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warner Music Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warner Music within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Warner Music Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warner Music for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warner Music Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Warner Music Group has 4.61 B in debt. Warner Music Group has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from aol.com: Former Sony CEO at the heart of the devastating cyberhack explains what happened behind the scenes

Warner Music Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Warner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Warner Music's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warner Music's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding519 M
Cash And Short Term Investments532 M

Warner Music Fundamentals Growth

Warner Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Warner Music, and Warner Music fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Warner Stock performance.

About Warner Music Performance

By analyzing Warner Music's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Warner Music's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Warner Music has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Warner Music has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 7.17  11.65 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.08)(0.07)

Things to note about Warner Music Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Warner Music for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Warner Music Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Warner Music Group has 4.61 B in debt. Warner Music Group has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from aol.com: Former Sony CEO at the heart of the devastating cyberhack explains what happened behind the scenes
Evaluating Warner Music's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Warner Music's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Warner Music's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Warner Music's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Warner Music's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Warner Music's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Warner Music's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Warner Music's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Warner Music's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Warner Music's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Warner Music's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Warner Music's price analysis, check to measure Warner Music's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warner Music is operating at the current time. Most of Warner Music's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warner Music's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warner Music's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warner Music to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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